The office is half empty, so I’m just catching up here really. A couple of weeks ago, I noticed a piece in the Guardian that I thought missed a really important part of the story regarding the increase of weather related disasters. I had a bit of a moan, and, fair play to the Graun, […]

heights

In a comment on Mora et al. (2013), we highlight some errors the authors make in calculating and expressing the uncertainty in the timing of  “climate departure” – the time at which a particular place on Earth will see a climate unprecedented in the historical record. There is a reply by the authors of the […]

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I enjoyed watching Gavin Schmidt’s TED talk on climate models, and wondered if such a thing might inspire a new generation of climate modellers. Keen to find out about the way that others have wound up in science, and in rather a fit of whimsy, I asked a question on twitter: So, what got you […]

It’s been pretty busy round these parts, here are a few notes from the last month or so. Natural variability – Energy budget Our paper on natural variability in the Earth’s energy budget got a nice write-up from John Abraham in the Guardian. Mat Collins happened to be passing, and took a nice picture of […]

Global internet search trends. Quantity of Google searches34 for the terms ‘global warming
stopped’ (blue) and ‘global warming pause’ (red) over the period from January 2007 to December 2013,
expressed as ‘relative interest’ with the highest monthly total given an index of 100. Note that the Google
data was accessed on 23 January 2014 and is subject to change.

I helped Ed and Tamsin to write a commentary on the communication of the “pause” in global surface warming, and it is online today at Nature Climate Change. We take a good look at the way the pause has been communicated and discussed by scientists and the media, offer some personal perspectives on engaging online, […]

This has been on my mind for a while. I think the observation is best summed up as: If somebody asks if something is statistically significant, they probably don’t know what it means. I don’t mean to offend anyone, and I can think of plenty of counter examples*, but this is borne out of long […]