Some recent work that I’ve been involved with, along with media coverage and talks.

Recent Publications

Google Scholar page

McNeall, D., Williams, J., Betts, R., Booth, B., Challenor, P., Good, P., and Wiltshire, A.: Correcting a bias in a climate model with an augmented emulator, Geoscientific Model Development  (Discussion paper, 2019

Reconciling Observation and Model Trends in North Atlantic Surface CO2 | A. Lebehot et al. Global Biogechemical Cycles, 2019

Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology | Karmalkar, A.V., Sexton, D.M.H., Murphy, J.M. et al. Clim Dyn (2019) 53: 847.

Reducing climate model biases by exploring parameter space with large ensembles of climate model simulations and statistical emulation | et al. Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3017–3043, 2019

Parametric Sensitivity of Vegetation Dynamics in the TRIFFID Model and the Associated Uncertainty in Projected Climate Change Impacts on Western U.S. Forests | L.Hawkins et al. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2019

(Discussion paper) Improving climate model accuracy by exploring parameter space with an O(105) member ensemble and emulator. S. Li et al. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss.,, in review, 2018.

How much CO2 at 1.5 and 2 degrees? R.A. Betts & D. McNeall, Nature Climate Change 8 (7), 546, 2018

Predicting the targeting of tail-anchored proteins to subcellular compartments in mammalian cells | J. Costello et al. Journal of Cell Science, 

(Final Published paper) The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model | D. McNeall et al. Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 917-935, 2016

(Discussion paper) The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model | D. McNeall et al. Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., doi:10.5194/esd-2016-17, in review, 2016

The mechanisms of North Atlantic CO2 uptake in a large Earth System Model ensemble | P. Halloran et al. Biogeosciences, 12, 4497-4508, doi:10.5194/bg-12-4497-2015, 2015.

Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales | E.Hawkins et al.  Nature, 519, 291 (2015)

Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming | C.D. Roberts et al.  Nature Climate Change, DOI:10.1038/nclimate2531 (2015)

(Discussion paper) The mechanisms of North Atlantic CO2 uptake in a large Earth System Model ensemble | P. Halloran et al. Biogeosciences Discuss., 11, 14551-14585, doi:10.5194/bgd-11-14551-2014 (2014)

Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates | E. Hawkins et al. Nature 511, (2014)

Is the 2004–2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant? | C. Roberts et al. GRL 41, DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059473 (2014)

Internal variability of Earth’s energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models | M.Palmer & D.McNeall Environ. Res. Lett. 9 034016 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034016 (2014)

Pause for thought | E. Hawkins et al. Nature Climate Change 4, 154–156 doi:10.1038/nclimate2150 (2014)

The potential of an observational data set for calibration of a computationally expensive computer model | D. McNeall et al. Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 1715-1728, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1715-2013 (2013)

The importance of population, climate change and CO2 plant physiological forcing in determining future global water stress | A.Wiltshire et al. Global Environmental Change 23, 5, DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.06.005 (2013)

The impact of climate mitigation on projections of future drought | Taylor et al.,  Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2339-2358, doi:10.5194/hess-17-2339-2013 (2013)

Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models | B.B.B. Booth et al., Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 95-108, doi:10.5194/esd-4-95-2013 (2013)


I’m a regular host for the Mostly Weather podcast

I was an academic consultant to BBC documentary Climate Change By Numbers, aired March 2nd 2015

Burst of warming may end lull in rising temperatures | New Scientist, 23rd February 2015

Surface warming ‘hiatus’ could stick around another five years, say scientists | Carbon Brief, 23rd February 2015

Climate change is far from the only cause of a rapid rise in disasters | The Guardian, 21st July 2014

Climate scientists tell us why it’s “utterly, utterly normal” to have a paper rejected | Carbon Brief, 9th July 2014

Overconfident predictions risk damaging trust in climate science, prominent scientists warn | Carbon Brief, 2nd July 2014

Atlantic current strength declines Nature News | 13th May 2014

Earth has a fever, but the heat is sloshing into the oceans | Climate Consensus – the 97% (Guardian hosted blog) 3rd April 2014

Ocean heat content is a better measure of climate change than surface temperature | Environmental Research Web, 21st March 2014

Climate scientists want to interact more directly with the public |, 3rd March 2014


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