Author Archives: Doug McNeall

Vulnerability, exposure, and disasters

The office is half empty, so I’m just catching up here really. A couple of weeks ago, I noticed a piece in the Guardian that I thought missed a really important part of the story regarding the increase of weather related disasters. I had a bit of a moan, and, fair play to the Graun, […]

A brief comment on timing

In a comment on Mora et al. (2013), we highlight some errors the authors make in calculating and expressing the uncertainty in the timing of  “climate departure” – the time at which a particular place on Earth will see a climate unprecedented in the historical record. There is a reply by the authors of the […]

Protected: Damages (from 2009)

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

What got you into science?

I enjoyed watching Gavin Schmidt’s TED talk on climate models, and wondered if such a thing might inspire a new generation of climate modellers. Keen to find out about the way that others have wound up in science, and in rather a fit of whimsy, I asked a question on twitter: So, what got you […]

The great thing about UQ is we know how to spell it

It’s been pretty busy round these parts, here are a few notes from the last month or so. Natural variability – Energy budget Our paper on natural variability in the Earth’s energy budget got a nice write-up from John Abraham in the Guardian. Mat Collins happened to be passing, and took a nice picture of […]

Pausing for thought

I helped Ed and Tamsin to write a commentary on the communication of the “pause” in global surface warming, and it is online today at Nature Climate Change. We take a good look at the way the pause has been communicated and discussed by scientists and the media, offer some personal perspectives on engaging online, […]

A brief observation on statistical significance

This has been on my mind for a while. I think the observation is best summed up as: If somebody asks if something is statistically significant, they probably don’t know what it means. I don’t mean to offend anyone, and I can think of plenty of counter examples*, but this is borne out of long […]

Why I don’t advocate for climate science policy

I was going to write a long essay on why I try to avoid advocating for any one particular policy for climate, but I think this probably makes the point fairly well. One of the funny things about the hoo-ha around Tamsin’s piece was that the reaction rather confirmed the point*. People hate hate HATE […]

A sciencey New Year’s resolution

This year, I resolve to only submit any first author scientific papers* to journals that will publish them open access. I will actively encourage the first authors of any other papers in which I am a co-author, to submit them open access. Happy New Year. * I’m sure some wag will point out that I […]

How fast is Arctic sea ice refreezing this year?

Bishop Hill have a post stating “Isn’t the Arctic refreeze quick this year?” I’ve done a quick check on the rate that the ice is refreezing this winter, compared to the previous years. It’s not a terribly scientific method – just copying this years trajectory and moving it to match the previous years by eye. […]