Tag Archives: climate models

Internal variability in surface temperature and the hiatus

Our paper Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming¬†is published today in Nature Climate Change. Here is the New Scientist take, the Carbon Brief take, and the Met Office Research News article. Chris Roberts took on a huge task, processing massive amounts of data in the CMIP5 climate model archive, and leading […]

A brief comment on timing

In a comment on Mora et al. (2013), we highlight some errors the authors make in calculating and expressing the uncertainty in the timing of ¬†“climate departure” – the time at which a particular place on Earth will see a climate unprecedented in the historical record. There is a reply by the authors of the […]

On the value of observations

I’m pretty happy that our paper on finding the potential value of observations for constraining climate models, was published today in Geoscientific Model Development. I posted about the discussion paper here, and you can download a presentation describing the work here. The paper demonstrates a method for working out how useful a new observation might […]